$48,000 Profit Using Our Free Research

Yes, you did alert us that Buffet was rumored to be interested in Kraft. That coupled with the buyer of 10,000 June 67.50 calls convinced me to follow this trade. Lowered my cost basis with 2 more buys as the price went down. Made $48,000 on this trade! Keep ’em coming!

Robb S.

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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • This ETF Gets Slammed No Matter Which Party Wins

    6 days ago
    I really do try to stay away from politics in this newsletter since it tends to steam folks up, and angry readers don't pay attention to my actual points which are always about trading. Unfortunately, politics is going to dominate the national conversation until the November election.

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  • What to Buy After the Wall Falls

    13 days ago
    The "Great Wall of Resistance" fell yesterday, yet nobody really cared. For more than a year, we waited for the S&P 500 (SPX) to break out to a significant new high, and when it finally happened CNBC was more interested in "some of the best -- and strangest -- deals on Amazon's Prime Day sale." CNBC wasn't alone in its deafening silence.

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  • Why Bond Yields Just Set Record Lows and What You Should Do About It

    20 days ago
    Last week's big recovery has become the tent pole for this week's news flow. Suddenly, all the analysts and cheerleaders are spouting reasons why that pop means everything is okay now. Fundstrat Global Advisors' Tom Lee thinks investors are confused about the Brexit, but that this is really a good thing...

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  • Four Reasons Brazil is Worse than Great Britain

    27 days ago
    "Brexit!" From the way analysts and pundits are yammering on about it, you'd think it's the only thing going on right now. We're talking "end-of-the-world-as-we-know-it" here. Seriously, one outfit called the Brexit vote "worse than WWII and 9/11 put together." The problem is, the Brexit noise is obscuring another issue that might actually matter more.

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  • This Dead Analyst Says the Industrials are Dead Too

    1 month ago
    We've heard a lot from Fed Chair Janet Yellen since last week, but it all amounts to one thing: No rate increases anytime soon. First there was the Fed's post-meeting statement, which noted (with some pride) that the pace of the economy picked up but fretted that the labor market slowed a bit.

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  • Short FXI While You Wait for The Fed

    1 month ago
    We're in a peculiar position that occurs every few months when this column's deadline falls just ahead of a major two-day Fed meeting. There are a several ways to cope with this... I could sit on the newsletter issue for a few days, but then my schedule gets hopelessly complicated, and frankly I'm a creature of habit.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • Is Boeing Set to Crash Again This Summer?

    11 minutes ago
    Boeing (BA - NYSE) is looking to show off its chrome bells and whistles at the upcoming Farnsworth Airshow. But there are suspicious cracks forming in Boeing's basic frame that make us wonder if a crash is coming.

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  • Short This Side of the AMC-Carmike Deal

    1 day ago
    Buyout news continues to run rampant. Today we learned that AMC Entertainment (AMC - NYSE) has upped its offer for Carmike Cinemas (CKEC - NASDAQ) from $30.00 per share to $33.06.

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  • Wall Street Wants to Short Whirlpool’s Strength

    4 days ago
    Wall Street woke up on the wrong side of bed this morning, and traders are selling good and bad news with equal fervor. General Electric (GE - NYSE) beat estimates on both revenue and earnings and raised its full year forecast. Its reward?

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  • Sell GM’s Big Beat

    5 days ago
    We're getting deeper into earnings season, and today General Motors (GM - NYSE) revealed that it beat the analysts hands down. Analysts were calling for earnings of $1.48, which would have been a 14.73% improvement year-over-year. But GM delivered a whopping $1.81 per share.

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  • The Big Risk in Unilever’s Close Shave

    6 days ago
    Dollar Shave Club was the poster child for the new disruptive, subscription business model that has mainstream retail's knickers in a knot. The general idea is that a small start-up can use the Internet and low-cost monthly fees to leverage a simple product's sales -- and profits -- so high that it might actually challenge a major retailer.

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  • Netflix Isn’t Dead Yet

    7 days ago
    "Netflix (NFLX - NASDAQ) is doomed -- sell now, salt the earth behind it, and forget you ever heard of the streaming service!" It sounds a bit extreme to us too, but that's the sort of panic being spread after management announced a slowdown in new subscribers on the heels of a recent price increase.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • Is NFLX Queuing Up Another Rally?

    18 hours ago
    Market resiliency has been a hallmark of the recent bull run as options traders have been actively buying dips in all of the strong stocks. Netflix (NFLX - NASDAQ) was one of the absolute strongest stocks in 2015, up 134%. But to date this year, it's down 24%. After dipping on earnings last week, NFLX is attracting aggressive buying.

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  • This $4 Million Bet Says Pandora Gets Acquired

    4 days ago
    With the bull market suddenly back in full swing, M&A activity is expected to pick up as well and many traders are scrambling to guess the next big acquisition. Pandora Media (P - NYSE) has been a popular target for months, and just yesterday The Wall Street Journal reported that Pandora rebuffed a $15-per-share offer from Liberty Media Group.

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  • Follow-Up: General Motors Lights Up Earnings

    5 days ago
    On Tuesday, we tipped you to a strong hint General Motors (GM - NYSE) was going to beat earnings. And sure enough, this morning GM reported impressive numbers across the board, beating on earnings per share, revenues, and raising full-year guidance for 2016.

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  • Follow-Up: SPY Trade Gains 107%, Antes Up Again

    6 days ago
    Last month, we asked if the S&P 500 (SPX) could top 2,200 before August when we spotted an unusual order of 100,000 August 220 calls in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY - NYSE). This was before Brexit happened, and back then it logically indicated to us that a vote to remain would win out.

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  • Trade Signals GM will Beat Expectations

    7 days ago
    We're running smack dab into the middle of earnings season, which is when we see some of the wildest speculation in the options markets. For instance, General Motors (GM - NYSE) releases earnings Thursday morning before the open, and earlier today a trader bought 20,000 GM 31 strike calls expiring this Friday. Bottarelli Research Translation:

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  • Unusual Alibaba Trade Forecasts Higher Prices

    8 days ago
    Sometimes analyzing option activity can be tricky. For instance, how do you determine if an order is unusual for a stock that trades over 50,000 contracts per day? That's the case for Alibaba (BABA - NYSE), which averages 87,000 options traded each session.

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