$48,000 Profit Using Our Free Research

Yes, you did alert us that Buffet was rumored to be interested in Kraft. That coupled with the buyer of 10,000 June 67.50 calls convinced me to follow this trade. Lowered my cost basis with 2 more buys as the price went down. Made $48,000 on this trade! Keep ’em coming!

Robb S.

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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • Penetrate This Line and It’s a Rout

    1 day ago
    Last week, we spoke at length about the "Sell in May" curse. Is it real or a myth? My answer: It's real enough, when price is at "the top of the mountain." And indeed, when the calendar rolled over to May, the SPX rolled over with it. We'll analyze where that dip has taken the market, and then we'll look at one of my favorite boutique sectors:

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  • Bad News: Winter is Coming for the XLI

    8 days ago
    May is coming. That doesn't sound as creepy as "winter is coming," or "all men must die," but it's close. Historically, May is when we are supposed to "sell and go away," because that's when "all bull markets must die." The general idea used to be that far too many traders were on vacation in the spring and summer to support the market.

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  • Here’s Why IBM Just Hit a Red Stop Light

    15 days ago
    This week, traders finally said no. For years now, we've been seeing the same old story over and over again. Wall Street stalwarts report weak revenue but somehow engineer an "upside surprise" on earnings, and share prices spike. There are all sorts of ways to set this up. You can cut cost by firing a bunch of workers.

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  • This Telecom is Cursed

    22 days ago
    For the past few weeks, I've repeatedly warned you to beware of this market and suggested shorting select stocks and indexes. I had all sorts of solid technical reasons for those warnings, and by and large they have panned out.

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  • This Stock Could Lose 30%

    29 days ago
    I write about the Fed a lot, but believe me when I tell you that it's not out of love or even a deep abiding interest. In fact, I really would prefer the central bank to keep its yap shut and go about its business in secret like it used to back in the last century.

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  • I’m Mad as Hell: Here’s Why

    1 month ago
    I'm mad as hell, and I am not going to take it anymore. Okay, maybe that's a tad extreme, but I really am kind of ticked off. For weeks we have suffered through "Fed Fever," wherein investors obsessed as to whether or not the Fed would raise rates, cut rates, or just yak a lot and do nothing. We even worried about what sort of words they'd use.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • Anheuser-Busch’s Brazil Project Isn’t Working

    22 hours ago
    We last looked at Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD - NYSE) back in early March when the stock registered on our radar as a decent call trade to maintain exposure to the last leg of a rising market. Our theorem paid off by handing Bottarelli Research LEAPS members 31% gains in a matter of days. Why only a few days?

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  • How Low Can AIG Go?

    2 days ago
    So far, the old adage has been right about "selling in May" as the SPX is off by some -1% already. May's latest victim looks to be mega-insurer American International Group (AIG - NYSE). The company just missed on earnings -- by a staggering -35% -- on shortfalls in both underwriting and investments.

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  • LinkedIn is Worth a Second Look

    3 days ago
    Last week, LinkedIn (LNKD - NYSE) surprised Wall Street by beating expectations on revenue and earnings, and shares spiked 9% on the news -- at least for a day or so. LinkedIn makes no sense to us.

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  • EXPE Fades the Pop on Upgraded Earnings

    6 days ago
    After the bell yesterday, online travel leader Expedia (EXPE - NASDAQ) reported better-than-expected results for Q1, with revenues increasing 39%. On the news, EXPE popped $10.00 higher but it's since started to fade. However, Morgan Stanley's Brian Nowak maintained an "Equal Weight" rating and a price target of $115.

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  • TXN Lies and Ford Flies

    7 days ago
    Earning reports are coming in hot and heavy, and seem to be breaking down into two distinct categories: factual and completely bogus. Quarterly numbers from Texas Instruments (TXN - NASDAQ) were introduced by Barron's thusly: "Texas Instruments Rises on Q1 Earnings Beat, Higher Forecast."

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  • Follow-Up: Remember Our Warning on Apple?

    8 days ago
    Back on April 11, we warned you that Apple (AAPL - NASDAQ)'s 22% rally over the previous 11 weeks had triggered a Sell Signal Stack, just as early hints were leaking that their next earnings report might be a disappointment. Specifically, we said "Another full cycle would see AAPL drop to $96.24 by late May."

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • Follow-Up: KRA Call Buyer Up 224% and Counting

    16 hours ago
    On April 18, we told you about an unknown stock to add to your takeover watchlist. Since then, Kraton Performance Polymers (KRA - NYSE) has increased virtually every session, culminating today with a 14.7% rally. As it turns out, we were wrong.

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  • Is Starz Next to be Acquired for its Original Programming?

    2 days ago
    The media landscape has never been more vast or interesting than right now. There's more networks producing original programming than ever before, yet customers continue cutting the cable cord as online streaming services like Netflix, Amazon, and Hulu keep buying the rights to popular shows.

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  • TripAdvisor Earnings Straddle Anticipates Short Trip

    3 days ago
    Calls, puts, straddles, strangles -- we often see traders buying all sorts of options leading into an earnings announcement, looking for a big score. That's why it's so interesting when you see the opposite, as happened earlier today with TripAdvisor (TRIP - NASDAQ). One customer sold to open 5,000 TRIP May 64 straddles for $8.00 apiece.

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  • Is CenturyLink About to Miss Earnings?

    6 days ago
    The market retreated for the second day in a row today as the bears continue to show some teeth. One of the largest downside trades came in telecommunication services stock CenturyLink (CTL - NYSE) when a trader bought 12,000 CTL May 30 puts for $0.80 apiece.

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  • AbbVie’s Opening Falter Gets Sharply Bought

    7 days ago
    The S&P 500 (SPX) has been stuck in a sideways pattern for a while now as it consolidates around 2,080 to 2,090, but option bulls continue to pile into calls. This morning, pharmaceutical company AbbVie (ABBV - NYSE) garnered attention after posting inline earnings and purchasing Stemcentrx for $5.8 billion in cash.

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  • AAPL’s Disappointment is the Time to Bite

    8 days ago
    Apple (AAPL - NASDAQ) released earnings after the close yesterday, and while all of Wall Street had low expectations, the numbers posted still disappointed. Shares of AAPL traded lower seven of eight days leading up to this announcement, and today marked the steepest tally as the stock tanked 6.8%.

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