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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • How Goldman Deals With a Topped-Out Market

    6 days ago
    As I write this newsletter, Janet Yellen has just told Congress that the Fed is happy for the recent incremental rises in employment, but there is no inflation per se -- what with oil so cheap, and possibly even a little deflation -- so she doesn't see the need to do much of anything different right now. No one is particularly happy about it.

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  • This Vintage Signal is Flashing Yellow

    13 days ago
    This week we'll take our usual look at the S&P 500 SPX master chart, where you'll see that the market is really running out of headroom. Then, we will explore a classic technical indicator system that's flashing a similar warning. Finally, we have a tried and true way to properly trade it — all at a fraction of the cost of broad-market index shares.

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  • How to Ride the Sinking Whales

    20 days ago
    The U.S. economy may finally be getting some real traction, and Wall Street doesn't quite know how to take this news. On the one hand, it could translate to some serious bumps in corporate top-line revenues. But on the other, it would mean increases in wages, energy, and the cost of capital.

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  • Traders are Grabbing the Saudi’s Knife Again

    27 days ago
    We're beginning to see a theme to this quarter's announcements: "We did good enough last quarter, but 2015 could be really bad."

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  • This Stock Buys Cheap in Asia and Sells Dear in the States

    1 month ago
    Last week, we wrote to you about The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hisenrath's warning that the U.S. Fed would raise rates in 2015, regardless of global deflationary pressures...

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  • This Index Wants to Party Like It’s 1999 (Or Maybe 2007)

    1 month ago
    This may sound strange, but the market's long rising trend is still intact. That's the best news I have for you right now. Beyond that, and it all gets a little crazy.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • Is PacWest Buying Profits or Troubles?

    23 hours ago
    It's a sign of the times that banks are looking to buy more risk to extend their profits in a market marked by falling earnings.

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  • BAC’s Pain Slated to Double Up

    4 days ago
    Is Bank of America (BAC - NYSE) about to double its losses? Today, we learned that Bank of America director and former chairman Chad Holliday, director Clayton Rose, and chief accounting officer Neil Cotty are all evacuating the C-suite over the next few weeks.

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  • Time to Short SHLD Again?

    5 days ago
    Most of the time, this column is all about uncovering hidden value. Sometimes that value is a stock about to spike. Sometimes it's a short play on a stock or index trading too high and about to roll over. Today, it's a warning to stay away from a dangerous shell game...

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  • It’s Time to Pick on this Hedge Fund Favorite

    6 days ago
    In this week's Bottarelli Research Newsletter, we noted that a report from Goldman Sachs (GS - NYSE) revealed that big hedge funds came into 2015 57% long equities -- their highest rate of commitment ever. This really is no shock, considering how topped-out the market looks right now.

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  • Is SHAK Riding an IPO Bubble?

    7 days ago
    One of the biggest arguments going on right now is "is there an IPO bubble?"

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  • Profit Off All These Missing Homebuyers

    8 days ago
    Today we learned from the National Association of Realtors that existing home sales declined 4.9 % in January to an annualized rate of 4.82 million units, its lowest level since last April.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • Is This Weight Loss Company Heading for Bankruptcy?

    17 hours ago
    Two months of the year are in the books and the market is off to another solid start as the S&P 500 (SPX) is up 2.9%. But, it's certainly not all sunshine and roses for everyone. The well-known weight management service Weight Watchers (WTW - NYSE) is down an astonishing 55% on the year after badly missing earnings last week.

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  • An Enormous Long-Term Bet on GE

    4 days ago
    Since bottoming in February of 2009, the stock market has been on a truly incredible run. After six years of gains, more and more talking heads are now speculating that this could be the end of the rally.

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  • Spending Millions to Speculate on this Oil Giant

    5 days ago
    It wasn't too long ago that Exxon Mobile (XOM - NYSE) was the largest company in the world. As they say though, oh how the mighty have fallen.

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  • Betting Big on Building Materials

    6 days ago
    After almost two full months into 2015, the markets have turned January's weakness into February's gains. The S&P 500 (SPX) is sitting on 2.7% gains for the year as we head into the final month of the first quarter.

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  • A $1.25 Million Play in this Boring Sector

    7 days ago
    Consumer staples is generally one of the more boring sectors in the market. Toothpaste, paper towels, bread -- these are products whose use stays relatively static regardless of macro-economic circumstances. For this reason, the stocks that cater to these products usually don't move much.

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  • Betting Against the Commodity Bounce

    8 days ago
    After taking a beating for months we've seen commodity related stocks make a big bounce in February. Many have seen this strength as a sign that the bottom is in, but others are still concerned that this is just a dead cat bouncing, and new lows could be in the offing.

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