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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • What to Buy When the High Goes Away

    6 days ago
    I have a confession to make. For a moment early this week, I wondered if I was wrong, and the market was going to break out after all. The big indexes were moving up and over the old ceiling. News of strong earnings from Microsoft (MSFT - NYSE) and Amazon.com (AMZN - NASDAQ) littered the cable channels.

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  • Don’t Buy a Day Ticket for This Roller Coaster Ride

    13 days ago
    You've heard me say it for weeks. Now here's Art Cashin -- one of the most trusted guys in trading -- on what's wrong with this market... It's kind of like commuting by roller coaster, you know? Lots of twists and turns and terror and you end up pretty much where you started and it cost you money.

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  • Why They Hate the Dollar…

    20 days ago
    The stock market continues to oscillate in a tighter and tighter range. But there's one asset that stands to rally if stocks "reset" -- and really explode if the bottom falls out. I'll walk you through these scenarios after we look at the latest S&P 500 (SPX) master chart. Let's get started...

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  • One of These Two Reports is Dead Wrong

    27 days ago
    This week started off with some glum news. According to the Institute for Supply Management, the U.S. services sector reading fell from 56.9 in February to 56.5 in March -- its lowest level in three months. Oh wait, maybe the news isn't so bad after all...

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  • What Wall Street Hopes You’ll Miss During Spring Break

    1 month ago
    Talk about a week! First off, it's the beginning of spring break for kids across the country. Passover is about to start, and at the end of that is Easter, of course. So exchange volume is almost as low now as it is around winter break -- and we don't even have the benefit of year-end portfolio window-dressing and tax selling.

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  • The Next Sector to Eat a Big Fat Bullet

    1 month ago
    We've seen this movie before, and it didn't end well. The bulls and bears are glaring at each other from opposite ends of a dusty street, their hands are hovering over their pistols, and the clock is about to strike high noon. Someone is gonna die, and if you don't want it to be the victim, you damn well better get ready to pull the trigger.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • RBC is Looking at the Wrong LULU Chart

    18 hours ago
    Today, RBC went "all-in" on a slew of retail stocks with "Outperform" ratings on Lululemon Athletica (LULU - NASDAQ), Chico's FAS (CHS - NYSE), American Eagle Outfitters (AEO - NYSE), and Urban Outfitters (URBN - NASDAQ).

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  • Don’t Buy Gilead’s Headline

    4 days ago
    Last week, we warned you about signs of a biotech bear market when Amgen (AMGN - NASDAQ) reversed course after beating earnings. Since that top, AMGN has gone on to lose -10%. Now we're seeing a similar pattern forming in Gilead Sciences (GILD - NASDAQ). Today, GILD beat on revenue and earnings on strong sales of its hepatitis C drugs.

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  • Viacom’s Earnings Beat Not Good Enough for a Sour Market

    5 days ago
    Here's another "Tale from the Top of the Market" for you. Today we learned that media giant Viacom (VIAB - NASDAQ) beat earnings estimates by some 9.43%, but missed on revenue due to the high U.S. dollar and "a drop in filmed entertainment sales." All last year, this sort of report would've been more than enough to trigger a decent rally. Now?

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  • You Knew the Twitter Train Wreck Was Coming

    6 days ago
    For some traders, the Twitter (TWTR - NYSE) announcement was a horrifying train wreck, after 19 analysts had touted it as a "Buy" and 20 as at least a "Hold." But for others, it was a red-hot opportunity. It's all just a question of advance intelligence.

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  • The Logic Behind BP’s Chaos

    7 days ago
    More signs of a deeply unsettled market this morning... First, we saw Apple (AAPL - NASDAQ) declare amazing earnings, pop up, and then sell-off big time. Then, news came across the wires that Iranians may have seized a U.S. ship, and some crude oil futures popped up but others sold off.

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  • Why Ditch TWTR Ahead of its Announcement?

    8 days ago
    It's easy to get swept up in earnings news and the market's latest series of marginal new highs. But some analysts are starting to get disenchanted with all the noise.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • Gambling on GNC

    13 hours ago
    Just a few days ago, health and wellness retailer GNC Holdings (GNC - NYSE) took a nose dive after reporting disappointing earnings. The stock dropped from $46.91 at the close on April 29 to as low as $40.93 the following day -- a 12.8% loss. However, GNC has since bounced off that intra-day low and has continued higher over the last two sessions.

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  • A $2.5 Million Bet on Haliburton Hitting $51.50

    4 days ago
    Slowly but surely, the energy market continues to rebound off record lows. Many talking heads will say that we still haven't seen the bottom, but with every passing day the strength in this sector says otherwise. Oil services giant Haliburton (HAL - NYSE) got hit just as hard as anything in the energy downfall.

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  • Can CVS Break Range on Earnings?

    5 days ago
    CVS Health (CVS - NYSE) has had a pretty nice start to the year, up about 3% so far in 2015. If you look at the chart though, you'll see that most of those gains were made in January, and the stock has really been trading sideways in a tight range ever since.

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  • Can the Golden Arches Actually Rebound?

    6 days ago
    In the past few years, the fast-casual dining market has exploded as restaurants like Chipotle, Shake Shack, and 5 Guys have provided consumers with a much better fast food alternative at not much higher of a price point.

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  • Betting Big on Fed Dovishness

    7 days ago
    Tomorrow all eyes will be tuned squarely on the Federal Open Market Committee as they conclude their monthly two-day meeting. The Fed has been saying for months that they'd like to start raising interest rates soon, but as of yet market conditions have not allowed them to do so.

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  • A $10 Million Options Bet

    8 days ago
    They share very similar names, but Coca-Cola (KO - NYSE), and Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE - NYSE) are two different companies. KO is the beverage behemoth you're all familiar with, while CCE is a bottling company of KO products. Earlier today one sharp money trader made an enormous bet on the long-term future of Coca-Cola Enterprises.

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