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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • How to Reasonably Game the S&P 500 in May

    3 days ago
    So, that was it, right? The big breakout we have all been waiting for that would finally allow the markets to move on to the next level? Sorry, but no. Maybe as the week goes by, the bulls will be able to firm this move up, but frankly, I have my doubts.

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  • China Cuts, and the Global Economy Just Gets Worse

    10 days ago
    Last week, I wrote about China's troubles, with a final warning that the Chinese Central Bank would probably try to jawbone its way out of this pinch. However, we doubted they could actually do all that much, without exacerbating China's inflation problems. I was wrong -- but it looks like it might not matter all that much.

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  • When the U.S. Sneezes, Will China Get the Flu?

    17 days ago
    This week we saw the S&P 500 (SPX) fail at the the third rail for the fifth time since we hit this dead zone in February. By now, this hard cap really can't be news anymore. It's kind of like the weatherman telling you that the sun will come up tomorrow, when what you really want to know is whether or not it's going to rain.

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  • What to Buy When the High Goes Away

    24 days ago
    I have a confession to make. For a moment early this week, I wondered if I was wrong, and the market was going to break out after all. The big indexes were moving up and over the old ceiling. News of strong earnings from Microsoft (MSFT - NYSE) and Amazon.com (AMZN - NASDAQ) littered the cable channels.

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  • Don’t Buy a Day Ticket for This Roller Coaster Ride

    1 month ago
    You've heard me say it for weeks. Now here's Art Cashin -- one of the most trusted guys in trading -- on what's wrong with this market... It's kind of like commuting by roller coaster, you know? Lots of twists and turns and terror and you end up pretty much where you started and it cost you money.

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  • Why They Hate the Dollar…

    1 month ago
    The stock market continues to oscillate in a tighter and tighter range. But there's one asset that stands to rally if stocks "reset" -- and really explode if the bottom falls out. I'll walk you through these scenarios after we look at the latest S&P 500 (SPX) master chart. Let's get started...

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • Good News for Sneakers, Bad News for Slacks

    22 hours ago
    Today we saw a bunch of mall stores' quarterlies, and it's interesting trying to draw a bead on what it all means. Bottarelli Research Tip:The GPS chart shows the trend has bent over into a dangerous inverted bowl.

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  • Best Buy is a Short-Term Dream and a Long-Term Nightmare

    2 days ago
    Electronics toy store Best Buy (BBY - NYSE) absolutely destroyed Wall Street estimates on revenue, earnings, and comparable-store growth today. Traders rewarded this strength with a whopping 10% pop off yesterday's closing price -- for exactly one minute.

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  • We Called YHOO’s Collapse to the Penny

    3 days ago
    Yesterday, Yahoo! (YHOO - NASDAQ) bulls were shocked when the stock fell nearly -12% just before the close. After much fuss overnight, today we learned why certain well-informed traders were unloading as fast as possible. It seems that the IRS is giving YHOO some real side-eye regarding its Alibaba (BABA - NYSE) spin-off.

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  • Do Not Miss What Walmart and Home Depot are Telling You

    4 days ago
    We saw several big quarterly reports from the retail sector this morning, and find two big-box store chains of particular interest... Home Depot (HD - NYSE) beat revenue, earnings, and same-store sales estimates, and raised its full-year sales and earnings forecasts.

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  • Guess Who’s Propping McDonald’s?

    5 days ago
    We've wondered who was propping up McDonald's (MCD - NYSE). Now, we know some answers... According to recently filed 13-F reports, Highfields Capital raised its stake in MCD, and Jana Partners, Corvex Management, and Glenview Capital all took new positions. So, there are a few hedge funds looking to pick up some change backing change at McD's.

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  • We Love This Chart

    8 days ago
    What you're looking at below is a weekly chart of Intuitive Surgical (ISRG - NASDAQ), maker of the remarkable "da Vinci" surgical systems.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • Did Alibaba Just Wake Up?

    14 hours ago
    China's e-commerce company Alibaba (BABA - NYSE) has been a sleeping giant recently, but it just might be waking up now. Alibaba missed earnings at the end of January, and has been sitting in a tight range up until just a few weeks ago.

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  • Can Citigroup Rally 30%?

    2 days ago
    Financials are often thought of as one of the more boring sectors in the market, and for the most part that's correct. Companies like Bank of America (BAC - NYSE), JPMorgan Chase (JPM - NYSE), and Citigroup (C - NYSE) are so large that they rarely make sizable moves in the market.

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  • Is AIG on the Verge of a Breakout?

    3 days ago
    Insurance giant American International Group (AIG - NYSE) stumbled out of the blocks in 2015, dropping 13% in January. But since then, AIG has been on fire. In the last four months, it's recouped that loss and is now sporting a shiny 7% gain year-to-date. Not only that, but with today's move higher AIG looks to be on the verge of yet another breakout.

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  • A Sharp Way to Play Tiffany Earnings

    4 days ago
    Everyone is familiar with the "Little Blue Box" from jewelry retailer Tiffany & Co. (TIF - NYSE), but most are probably not nearly as familiar with the stock. On January 12, Tiffany lowered their full-year guidance for 2015 and the stock got walloped -- dropping 14% in a single day.

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  • Is This Dead Casino Ready to Bounce?

    5 days ago
    Casino developer, owner, and operator Wynn Resorts (WYNN - NASDAQ) has been trending down for quite some time. While the broad market is starkly higher over the last year, WYNN has been in a free fall -- off almost 50%. At some point this stock will set a bottom and be ready to rebound.

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  • Betting Millions on Jewels

    8 days ago
    It's always interesting when you see a large options trade on a stock that normally trades very few contracts. Sure, a 10,000 lot in AAPL is a big trade, but 10k is just a drop in the bucket for a stock that trades 645,000 call options per day on average. Specialty jewelry retailer Signet Jewelers (SIG - NYSE) is not AAPL -- not by a long shot.

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