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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • Election Market Stasis (It Could Be a Good Thing)

    2 months ago
    Do you hate "hold" music? You know what I mean, those meandering syrupy jazz renditions of almost-recognizable tunes that play while you wait for a representative to come on the line? Hold music is the best you can hope for right now from most business news sites.

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  • Both Candidates Picked on This Sector: Buy It Now Before It Snaps Back 25%

    2 months ago
    I try to steer clear of election-year politics in this column. As my dad used to say, "Folks who wrestle with pigs ending up smelling like..." Well, I'm sure you get the picture. But I've already broken this rule a few times this election season, and I'm doing it again to offer you some interesting election correlations.

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  • Forget the Calendar, We Know Exactly Where the Transports are Headed

    2 months ago
    I just read perhaps the oddest calendar theorems I've ever come across. According to Dave Lutz of JonesTrading, we should get out of the market till the end of a major Jewish holiday. One saying for equities on Wall Street has historically been to "sell Rosh Hashanah (red), buy Yom Kippur (black)."

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  • This Internet Giant Just Hit Maximum Saturation

    2 months ago
    I'm going to start with a whiney little complaint... My usual methodology is to use charts to quantify what's on investors' minds. In fancy terms, I'm a memeticist, studying the distribution and uptake of ideas. But this week, the only thing to contemplate was the presidential debate between Clinton and Trump.

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  • Here’s Where Homebuilders are Headed Next

    3 months ago
    There are two kinds of recommendations that can be made just ahead of a major Fed announcement. We could ignore the U.S. market altogether and prognosticate on, say, South Korea, like back in July. Honestly, that idea didn't work as well as hoped.

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  • How Low Will the Market Go?

    3 months ago
    Well, we're done arguing about when the market will finally breakdown. Now the big question is, "How low can it go?" There are three ways to attack this problem. We can start with the Fed, since loud-mouthed Fed governors seem to have been the trigger of all this recent volatility.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • Here’s How Much WHR Will Move on Earnings Day

    1 month ago
    Whirlpool (WHR - NYSE) is scheduled to report earnings before the bell tomorrow, and investors have been buying the stock leading up to the announcement. Analysts are projecting earnings of $3.86 per share on revenue of $5.32 billion, which is above the $3.45 per and $5.28 billion that Whirlpool earned during the same quarter last year.

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  • The Oddest Safe Haven Trade You’ll Ever See

    2 months ago
    Driving along any U.S. highway, you'll undoubtedly pass a Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL - NASDAQ). And more often than not, the parking lot will be jam packed. We've certainly noticed, and have been applying it to our trading. CBRL shares have suffered a severe hit since September. Why?

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  • Oversized Reactions Create a Strong Buy

    2 months ago
    Earnings season is really starting to rock now, and we're seeing some outsized reactions -- in both directions.

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  • The Smartest NFL Coach Just Destroyed Microsoft

    2 months ago
    The smartest guy in the room just dropped the hammer on Microsoft (MSFT - NASDAQ). No, we're not talking about any of the usual stock analysts or tech reviewers. Rather, we are referring to New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick.

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  • This Stock is Available at a Fraction of its Worth

    2 months ago
    It's hard to find underpriced deals in a market that's -2.6% off its all-time high. But we found a stock that's still available at a fraction of its worth -- and technical target. Under Armour (UA - NYSE) can be bought right now for only 80% of its 2016 high, and 70% of its 2015 high.

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  • What Will Happen When Netflix Announces Quarterly Numbers?

    2 months ago
    Netflix (NFLX - NASDAQ), the 800-pound gorilla of streaming content, announces its quarterly numbers tonight. This is always an interesting time for speculation. Will the company's report show gains, or will it back slide? And what about expectations? Are they set too high or too low, and will the company meet, beat, or disappoint?

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • How to Spread Risk and Maximize Your Payoff

    9 hours ago
    With hacks and security breaches becoming increasingly widespread, prominent, and costly, cybersecurity is more important than ever. Companies are spending boatloads on information security to guard customer data -- a trend that's only projected to continue. Earlier today, a trader leveraged Fortinet (FTNT - NASDAQ) to go long this opportunity.

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  • DAL Call Options Fly Over 100% Between Bells

    1 day ago
    Whether it's making $2.4 million following a hedge fund or 240% on the "Inception" trade, sharp paper has been raking it in hand-over-fist lately. And with today's trade in Delta Air Lines (DAL - NYSE), the profits came faster than ever. At the open, a customer bought 5,000 DAL December 49.5 calls.

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  • Smart Money Goes Long Russia

    2 days ago
    As we approach the end of 2016, the S&P 500 (SPX) is up 7.8% on the year. It's an impressive return, but it falls far short of the growth taking place in Russia. The VanEck Vectors Russia ETF (RSX - NYSE) is up 37.5% in 2016.

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  • Is DIS About to Create Some Holiday Magic?

    5 days ago
    Walt Disney (DIS - NYSE) has traditionally been one of the strongest, most stable stocks in the market. However, DIS has slumped over the past year as many consumers "cut the cord" and started to shift how entertainment is digested. Is this sea change now priced in to DIS shares?

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  • Has Gold Finally Bottomed?

    6 days ago
    The strong rally in the U.S. dollar since the election has meant severe weakness in most dollar-denominated assets, notably gold. Since November 8, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD - NYSE) is down 8.3%. We've seen a number of traders attempt to call a bottom on the way down, but so far none have been successful.

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  • Who Dares to Go Long Greece?

    7 days ago
    It's not uncommon for some of the strongest gains to come in the least-expected places. Take, for example, Greece. Considering the weak economy and multitude of bailouts, no one in their right mind would want to be long on the Greek stock market, right? Wrong.

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