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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • I’ve Never Gotten More Mail on Any Topic

    7 hours ago
    I don't know if I have ever gotten more email on any topic than I have about shorting "the best market ever." If you missed our alert last week, here's what I'm talking about...

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  • How Goldman Deals With a Topped-Out Market

    7 days ago
    As I write this newsletter, Janet Yellen has just told Congress that the Fed is happy for the recent incremental rises in employment, but there is no inflation per se -- what with oil so cheap, and possibly even a little deflation -- so she doesn't see the need to do much of anything different right now. No one is particularly happy about it.

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  • This Vintage Signal is Flashing Yellow

    14 days ago
    This week we'll take our usual look at the S&P 500 SPX master chart, where you'll see that the market is really running out of headroom. Then, we will explore a classic technical indicator system that's flashing a similar warning. Finally, we have a tried and true way to properly trade it — all at a fraction of the cost of broad-market index shares.

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  • How to Ride the Sinking Whales

    21 days ago
    The U.S. economy may finally be getting some real traction, and Wall Street doesn't quite know how to take this news. On the one hand, it could translate to some serious bumps in corporate top-line revenues. But on the other, it would mean increases in wages, energy, and the cost of capital.

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  • Traders are Grabbing the Saudi’s Knife Again

    28 days ago
    We're beginning to see a theme to this quarter's announcements: "We did good enough last quarter, but 2015 could be really bad."

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  • This Stock Buys Cheap in Asia and Sells Dear in the States

    1 month ago
    Last week, we wrote to you about The Wall Street Journal's Jon Hisenrath's warning that the U.S. Fed would raise rates in 2015, regardless of global deflationary pressures...

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • McDonald’s May Have Already Lost the War

    3 hours ago
    After years of dysfunction, McDonald's (MCD - NYSE) share price appeared to turn a corner in January when CEO Don Thompson suddenly "retired," and was replaced by senior executive brand president and chief brand officer, Steve Easterbrook. And just this week, MCD shares flirted briefly with a new 52-week high.

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  • BA Rallying on the Worst Sort of “Good” News

    1 day ago
    Boeing (BA - NYSE) is rallying this week on "news" that it might sell some 777s to United Continental Holdings (UAL - NYSE). Problem is, traders are reading the headline but the facts are something different altogether.

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  • Is PacWest Buying Profits or Troubles?

    2 days ago
    It's a sign of the times that banks are looking to buy more risk to extend their profits in a market marked by falling earnings.

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  • BAC’s Pain Slated to Double Up

    5 days ago
    Is Bank of America (BAC - NYSE) about to double its losses? Today, we learned that Bank of America director and former chairman Chad Holliday, director Clayton Rose, and chief accounting officer Neil Cotty are all evacuating the C-suite over the next few weeks.

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  • Time to Short SHLD Again?

    6 days ago
    Most of the time, this column is all about uncovering hidden value. Sometimes that value is a stock about to spike. Sometimes it's a short play on a stock or index trading too high and about to roll over. Today, it's a warning to stay away from a dangerous shell game...

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  • It’s Time to Pick on this Hedge Fund Favorite

    7 days ago
    In this week's Bottarelli Research Newsletter, we noted that a report from Goldman Sachs (GS - NYSE) revealed that big hedge funds came into 2015 57% long equities -- their highest rate of commitment ever. This really is no shock, considering how topped-out the market looks right now.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • A Big Bet on a Small Earnings Move

    24 hours ago
    It's a common misconception that the way to make money trading earnings announcements is to simply buy both calls and puts. The idea is that the stock will make a big move one way or the other, and you'll make a killing on one side, while losing just a bit on the other.

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  • Is This Weight Loss Company Heading for Bankruptcy?

    2 days ago
    Two months of the year are in the books and the market is off to another solid start as the S&P 500 (SPX) is up 2.9%. But, it's certainly not all sunshine and roses for everyone. The well-known weight management service Weight Watchers (WTW - NYSE) is down an astonishing 55% on the year after badly missing earnings last week.

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  • An Enormous Long-Term Bet on GE

    5 days ago
    Since bottoming in February of 2009, the stock market has been on a truly incredible run. After six years of gains, more and more talking heads are now speculating that this could be the end of the rally.

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  • Spending Millions to Speculate on this Oil Giant

    6 days ago
    It wasn't too long ago that Exxon Mobile (XOM - NYSE) was the largest company in the world. As they say though, oh how the mighty have fallen.

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  • Betting Big on Building Materials

    7 days ago
    After almost two full months into 2015, the markets have turned January's weakness into February's gains. The S&P 500 (SPX) is sitting on 2.7% gains for the year as we head into the final month of the first quarter.

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  • A $1.25 Million Play in this Boring Sector

    8 days ago
    Consumer staples is generally one of the more boring sectors in the market. Toothpaste, paper towels, bread -- these are products whose use stays relatively static regardless of macro-economic circumstances. For this reason, the stocks that cater to these products usually don't move much.

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