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Newsletter

Commentary on events shaping the market’s important directional movements

  • This “Extraordinary Event” Could Spark a 35% Jump

    2 days ago
    I try not to be too much of an alarmist, especially when it comes to "the disease crisis of the week." But each year, we seem to experience such an event. And yet, for the most part, we're still here and society is carrying on with its daily business well enough.

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  • Japan’s Dangerous Split Personality

    9 days ago
    I've written at great length about the U.S. market's short-term opportunities and long-term risk. So much so, in fact, that I suspect some readers have become numb to it. It's kind of like explaining water to a fish -- it's so ubiquitous, it's hard to wrap our minds around it.

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  • How to Beat the U.S. Recession

    16 days ago
    Today we're going to talk about the "R" word. That's right -- recession. Frankly, there's a good chance that the U.S is already in that woeful state. And once you accept this fact, the market's recent actions make a whole lot more sense.

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  • The Only U.S. Energy Player That’s Rising

    23 days ago
    $30 a barrel! Seriously, oil hasn't been this cheap in more than a decade. And gas at the pump is now well under $2 per gallon. In fact, you can buy a barrel of oil for about what it costs to fill your gas tank! And every time they say it's the bottom, it drops another nickel or two.

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  • This “Sick Bird” Just Delivered 300% Gains

    1 month ago
    Well that was an interesting open for 2016, what with the S&P 500 (SPX) opening the trading year with a fast -2.38% loss. To see the market drop like that coming out of the gate was certainly stimulating, but not really all that surprising.

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  • This Window Only Opened 3 Times in the Past 10 Years

    1 month ago
    Welcome to the week that isn't. 75% the world is still on vacation and the other 25% is busy making plans for New Year's Eve. We'll run through the S&P 500 (SPX) master chart just for form's sake, but honestly there's not much new information (or wisdom) to be gained.

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Chart of the Day

Technical analysis of the day’s most critical stock chart

  • This “Paper Tiger” Has the Numbers to Beat Wall Street’s Funk

    8 hours ago
    Traders are in one hell of a bad mood today... News Corp (NWSA - NASDAQ) announced earnings in line with estimates, and 169% quarterly earnings growth year-over-year. But that last figure represents a one-cent miss by analysts' estimates. So NWSA is down some -8% this morning.

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  • Wall Street Keeps Blowing Beazer

    1 day ago
    Wall Street just can't seem to get Beazer Homes (BZH - NYSE) right, and this week that's a good thing. For example, Beazer beat the analysts on revenue by some 8.12% and earnings by 133.33%. It even beefed up its backlog 13.2% despite a slow start to the quarter.

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  • No Recession for GM — Yet

    2 days ago
    Analysts were expecting a lot from General Motors (GM - NYSE), and it still beat them across the board.

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  • 21st Century Fox Wants to Cut Its Way to a Rally

    3 days ago
    In this market, growth is clearly off the table, so now it's all about how much you can cut. Today we learned from the Wall Street Journal that 21st Century Fox (FOXA - NASDAQ) is looking to cut some $250 million in fat over the next fiscal year.

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  • Is China Putting in a Corner?

    4 days ago
    There are all sorts of indicators that an asset or asset class is about to make a move. One of the odder cases is a spike in "interesting new topical studies and stats" hitting the wires.

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  • This Stock Made Record Profits in 2015 and Lost -42% Along the Way

    7 days ago
    Today we have the perfect stock for the current market. The numbers out of Whirlpool (WHR - NYSE) for the past quarter and year are astounding in so many ways... Let's start with the recent stuff: WHR missed on revenue but beat on earnings by some $0.19 this quarter, as it trimmed out excess capacity.

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Trade of the Day

The single most important trade you’ll see today

  • After Today’s Collapse, Can LNKD Bounce Back 50%?

    1 hour ago
    All eyes were on LinkedIn (LNKD - NYSE) today. Yesterday afternoon LNKD reported earnings, and they weren't great (to say the least). As a result, LNKD shares dropped an unbelievable 43.6%. This isn't some flash-in-the-pan biotech stock we're talking about -- as of yesterday LNKD had a market cap of over $25 billion.

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  • Huntington Bancshares Draws Unusual Options Activity

    1 day ago
    Even with the market rebounding off its lows, there's still plenty of skeptics who think we're headed lower. For the recent upside to really turn into a rally, one of the most important sectors in the market will need to flourish -- financials.

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  • Day Trader Gains 66% on Alcoa in Mere Hours

    2 days ago
    The market put in a sizable intra-day turnaround on Wednesday, and once again sharp traders came out of the woodwork. One of the biggest trades of the morning was seen in Alcoa (AA - NYSE). Like all commodity names, AA has been getting smashed recently. However, as signaled by this trade, it might be overdue for a rebound.

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  • Just How High Can Facebook Go?

    3 days ago
    Seemingly undeterred, Facebook (FB - NASDAQ) continues to chug higher in the face of an imploding market. Following yet another impressive earnings announcement last week, FB rallied 15.6% in a single session and is now up 47.8% since the end of 2014. By market cap, FB is now the fifth largest company in the world.

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  • Kroger’s Sale Shelves Attract Bullish Orders

    4 days ago
    After Friday's impressive end-of-month rally, the market stumbled out of the gate to start February but the bulls wasted little time buying up the dip. Sentiment appears to have shifted, and the sky may not be falling quite yet. Option bulls continue to pick through the shelves for sales, bottom-feeding on stocks perceived as oversold.

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  • Bank of America is Ready to Start Next Week with a Bang

    7 days ago
    The market closed out January in impressive fashion, and the recent strength has some bulls anticipating an extension into next week. Big banks have been somewhat of a drag lately, but one sharp trader thinks Bank of America (BAC - NYSE) will start February with a bang.

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