Oil Services Remain Weak
Add RIG Puts Now
Dear Bottarelli Research Member,
Earlier this week, we used weakness in the oil service sector to make fast gains trading the Oil Services HOLDRs (OIH). Unlike pure oil stock plays, the offshore oil and gas drillers have posted lackluster gains so far this year. For example, despite a 55% average gain in 2005, the same collection of stocks has only managed a 6.5% gain thus far in 2006 despite record oil prices and swelling order backlogs. This underperformance is now making Wall Street question the valuations they’ve assigned to these companies — which has resulted in bearish chart formations across the board.
Of course, longer-term bullishness on anything oil-related is a strong position. But right now, this sector is being controlled by the bears. That’s why I’d like to enter a new short-term trading position in Transocean (RIG – NYSE).

Transocean provides offshore drilling services for oil and gas wells — specializing in deepwater and harsh environment drilling. Although they own and 89 mobile offshore and barge drilling units, the chart indicates the stock could re-test its mid-June low of $70.75. That’s a $2.73 down-move from current levels. Based on this seemingly inevitable re-test, let’s enter some shorter-term RIG puts.
PLAY: Buy the RIG August 75 Puts (RIG TO) at or under $4.30, good for the day. Current bid/ask spread is $4.00 to $4.30. Place a protective stop loss at $2.90.
Lock and load,
Sincerely,

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