Earnings Tuesday

Get Positioned in GS, Perhaps BBY

By Bryan Bottarelli
Monday, December 11, 2006 9:39 AM EST
Mon, 11 Dec 2006 14:39:00 GMT

Dear Bottarelli Research Member,

Two important earnings announcement are being released on Tuesday — and each announcement has critical trading implications. If you’re the try of trader who likes to make earnings plays, then this alert is right up your alley!

The biggest announcement will come from Goldman Sachs Group (GS – NYSE). The incredible explosion of M&A activity combined with low interest rates sets the table for a blockbuster Q4 out of GS. The huge fees collected from advising on all the leveraged buyouts and underwriting the bond offerings are why analysts are calling for GS to earn an even $6.00 per share this quarter — versus $3.35 last quarter. That’s an eye-popping year over year increase. And in fact, the whispers are that that number still needs to be revised upwards! Based on the coming announcement on Tuesday, let’s get positioned to ride some speculative upside in GS. Here’s the play:

GS

PLAY: Buy the GS January 220 Calls (GPY AD) at or under $4.10, good for the day. Current bid/ask spread is $3.60 to $3.80. Place a protective stop loss at $2.00.

Also looking to report a strong quarter on Tuesday is Best Buy (BBY – NYSE). The early indication is that BBY will earn $0.35 per share versus $0.28 last year, which is also a strong improvement (but nowhere close to what GS is expected to report). As a result, I’ll refrain from issuing a Best Buy trade recommendation, although you’re certainly welcome to make a play yourself. The BBY January 55 Calls (BBY AK) for $2.00 to $2.10 look particularly attractive.

Remember, even if GS rallies in anticipation of tomorrow’s earnings call, we’ll be in position to take a profit.

Lock and load

Sincerely,

Bryan Bottarelli

Bryan Bottarelli
Editor, Bottarelli Research

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