A Truly Speculative Trade

Play BG July Calls

By Bryan Bottarelli
Monday, June 23, 2008 2:58 PM EDT
Mon, 23 Jun 2008 18:58:00 GMT

PLAY: Buy the BG July 110 Calls (BG GB) at or under $6.00, good for the day.

Dear Bottarelli Research Member,

When it comes to today’s trading in shares of Bunge (BG – NYSE), you truly have one of the craziest intra-day price ticks you’ll ever see. The stock began the day trading higher by $4.00. But then, news broke that the fertilizer and oilseed processor agreed to buy Corn Products International (CPO – NYSE) in a $4.4 billion stock deal, and the stock did a $18.00 turnaround. Check it out:

BG

With this deal, you have two of America’s oldest agricultural companies joining forces to establish a $30 billion-a-year agricultural giant. This single transaction will blast Bunge from #255 on Fortune’s list of largest U.S. companies (with $26.3 billion in revenues last year) into the top 100. Obviously, BG’s management would not agree to this deal if it was harmful for shareholders, but nevertheless, we’re seeing a major “sell on news” scenario unfold today. Therefore, for those speculative investors with a higher tolerance for risk, I see this as an opportunity to add the BG July 110 Calls (BG GB) for a fire-sale price. This morning, for example, these calls traded for a high of $18.00. But now, you can pick them up for less than $6.00. To me, this is a classic case of headline over-reaction, and for speculative traders, it represents an opportunity to play a quick bounce. Therefore, let’s take full advantage by entering the BG July 110 calls now!

PLAY: Buy the BG July 110 Calls (BG GB) at or under $6.00, good for the day. Place a protective stop limit at $3.50.

Lock and load!

Sincerely,

Bryan Bottarelli

Bryan Bottarelli
Editor, Bottarelli Research

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