More Weakness Ahead!

Hold DXD, UNP, and FLR Puts

By Bryan Bottarelli
Wednesday, June 17, 2009 10:43 AM EDT
Wed, 17 Jun 2009 14:43:00 GMT

Dear Bottarelli Research Member,

Good morning. I get the sense that the major market averages are getting set for another pullback. The bulls have yet to formulate any upside momentum. So once again, the bears are simply waiting for the buyers to throw in the towel, and that’s when they’ll pounce – and pounce hard. The Dow chart below shows a slight downside bias this morning, but we’ll see what happens as the day progresses. Now that we’re past the first hour of trading, we should really see the main plays step in and dictate the day’s directional move.

INDU

If the markets fall today, we’re nicely positioned via the DXD July 45 Calls (DXD GS), FLR July 50 Puts (FLR SJ), and UNP July 55 Puts (UHP SK). All three plays have moved into the profit zone today, so maintain all three puts for more gains.

On the flip-side, it’s time to adjust our bias by letting go of our APA July 85 Calls (APA GQ). With every commodity play falling yet again today, the sentiment is clearly to the downside in oil, metals, fertilizers, energy, and so forth. Therefore, if you haven’t already done so, sell your APA calls now.

At the same time, let’s continue holding the GDX July 40 Calls (GDX GN). As you can see below, the GDX is coming up on a very strong support level. If this level holds, we should see a quick turnaround going into the end of the month. As I noted yesterday, metals plays (such as AEM) are all closing in on nice support levels, so we could have a nice buying opportunity coming soon.

GDX

When it’s time to move on any of our positions, you’ll be the first to know. Until then…

Lock and load!

Sincerely,

Bryan Bottarelli

Bryan Bottarelli
Editor, Bottarelli Research

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